Perhaps, if the Guardian’s report today is anything to go by:
This indicates several things. First, that the perspective that some have held for decades that the Tories are in long term decline because of structural changes to their class base, holds up.
As has been noted:
Taking Tory victories after the immediate post-World War II period the Conservative percentage of the vote was 49.6% in 1955, 49.4% in 1959, 46.4%, in 1970, 43.9% in 1979, 42.4%, in 1983, 42.2% in 1987, and 41.9% in 1992. This trend would imply a further Tory fall, to slightly above or below 40% at an election held in 2010.
Secondly, that there is growing resistance among some voters to the Tories’ over enthusiastic prescription for savage cuts. Maybe George Osborne thought that when he said a Cameron government would be within three months of taking office the most unpopular ever, this is something to which the British people would instinctively rally.
I think many in the top echelons of the Tory Party really do believe that vast numbers of people in the country share their ideological hatred of the welfare state and like them are seeking any opportunity to attack the safety nets that the most vulnerable and marginalised in society need to survive.
Having said all this, the Labour blogs are all getting a bit too excited. Brown and Mandelson’s electoral strategy is to try and woo Tory voters rather than recover the millions who have abandoned New Labour since 1997, and for this reason they are incapable of making the most of the situation. The chances are that David Cameron will still be Prime Minister in May. The blame will rest at the doors of Tony, Gordon and Peter.